• Polymarket launched each day up/down and closing-price bracket contracts for Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, gold, and WTI crude oil, mechanically resolved by Pyth Community’s feeds from greater than 90 institutional contributors.
  • Intercontinental Alternate (NYSE’s operator) has dedicated a mixed US$1.6 billion to Polymarket, which now processes greater than US$20 billion in month-to-month buying and selling quantity.
  • The enlargement blurs the boundary between prediction markets and controlled derivatives, intensifying a CFTC jurisdiction dispute that has already prompted federal lawsuits towards three US states.

Prediction market big Polymarket has launched on-chain each day prediction markets for US equities, commodities, and ETFs, utilizing Pyth Community’s real-time value feeds to settle contracts mechanically, marking a direct enlargement into conventional monetary markets.

The brand new markets permit customers to commerce on value actions of belongings together with Tesla, Coinbase, Nvidia, Apple, gold, silver, WTI crude oil, and pure fuel, alongside main fairness indices. 

Two contract codecs are provided: “up/down” markets, the place merchants predict whether or not an asset closes above or under its opening value, and “bracket” markets, the place customers choose a selected closing value vary. Every contract resets on the finish of the buying and selling day.

Associated: Startup’s $15K Bet Backfires: P2P.me Apologises for Polymarket Misstep

Pyth Community as On-Chain Settlement Oracle

The system depends on Pyth because the on-chain settlement oracle. Pyth aggregates pricing information from greater than 90 main contributors, together with buying and selling companies and market makers actively concerned within the underlying belongings, and publishes these feeds on to blockchain networks. 

This strategy differs from oracle fashions that rely upon secondary information sources. Chainlink presently dominates the sector with about 64% of complete worth secured, whereas Pyth and RedStone every maintain roughly 5%, making this integration a notable distribution acquire for Pyth.

Alongside the rollout, Pyth launched Pyth Terminal, a real-time information interface displaying reference costs used to settle contracts, giving merchants visibility into the benchmark value for every market.

Polymarket has been rising quick, with month-to-month buying and selling quantity growing from US$1.2 billion (AU$1.74 billion) in 2025 to greater than US$20 billion (AU$29.0 billion) by early 2026. Month-to-month distinctive wallets reached about 840,000 by February, practically 3 times the extent a 12 months earlier. 

Institutional backing has additionally expanded after Intercontinental Alternate invested US$600 million (AU$870 million) in March 2026, including to a US$1 billion (AU$1.45 billion) stake from October 2025, valuing Polymarket at round US$12 billion (AU$17.4 billion). 

Rival Kalshi is valued between US$20 billion and US$22 billion (AU$29.0 billion to AU$31.9 billion).

Learn extra: Polymarket and Kalshi Race to Self-Regulate as Congress Targets Insider Trading

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